El Niño years are followed by ENSO-neutral years about 50 per cent of the time, the BoM said. El Niño years are followed by La Niña years about 40 per cent of the time, and in about 10 per cent ...

CPC and BoM monitor La Niña conditions, with ONI values indicating potential emergence, while ENSO remains neutral.

On April 16, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) of the Australian government declared that the El Niño weather pattern – a periodic warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean – had ended.

BoM said it considers that the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific remains neutral. “While many indicators have recently met the threshold for La Nina they have not been ...

Part of the BoM’s reasoning may lie in criticism of its 2023 El Nino and positive Indian Ocean Dipole forecast of dry conditions that instead led to widespread rain and floods. Last month BoM ...

On Tuesday, Bureau of Meteorology increased El Nino outlook from watch to alert. "It means the chance of El Nino developing over Autumn is around 70%, which is 3 times more likely than usual." ...