Nonetheless, Salsburg does allow that the Bayesian approach to personal probability seems to be on more solid ground. For those not easily drawn to the joys of mathematics, this book holds no terrors.

Gourieroux and Jasiak: Financial Econometrics: Problems, Models and Methods. • Greene: Econometric Analysis. • Johannes and Polson: Computational Methods for Bayesian Inference. • Hamilton: ...

Writer Nat Dyer on how David Ricardo's abstract models pushed economics into fantasy — and we all paid the price ...

What are three popular tropes that romance novels use? Jennifer Harlan, a New York Times books editor, recommends three romance novels that show off those tropes at their best. An author of books ...

When English leaders began fretting about coal, the late-20-something Jevons decided he wanted to address their concerns. And ...

A new year means new books to look forward to, and 2025 already promises a bounty — from the first volume of Bill Gates’s memoirs to a new novel by the reigning Nobel laureate, Han Kang ...

Meridian relies on Bayesian causal inference that allows ... less than half (45%) use econometrics and marketing mixed modelling (MMM). Have something to say on this? Share your views in the ...

In the literary world, this year is shaping up to be a good one for fans of cultural criticism: There are new books about Better Call Saul and biographies of James Gandolfini and Lorne Michaels on ...

(What? Just me?) There’s no such thing as an excess of good books, but the roster of forthcoming publications is certainly staggering. Fiction lovers have much to look forward to, with incoming ...

Two new books, “The Sirens’ Call” by Hayes and “Superbloom” by Carr, argue that our capacity for attention and connection has been devastated by the digital age “Elita” is a novel ...

Weak instruments in econometrics refer to situations where ... This work proposes a class of quasi-Bayesian decision rules that can be applied regardless of model identification status.

It has been tempting to view the C.I.A. as omniscient. Yet Coll’s chastening new book about the events leading up to the Iraq War, in 2003, shows just how often the agency was flying blind.